ollowing the end of the Cold
War, there have been an increasing number of conflicts of ethnic and
religious character resulting in the disintegration of states and a
general condition of uncertainty and instability in several regions.
Armed terrorism across international frontiers constitutes a serious
new threat to peace and security. It has become even more dangerous
with the possibility of terrorists gaining access to Weapons of mass
Destruction (WMD). Even so, many of the conflicts and tensions now
prevailing in different regions of the world could have been
anticipated and their aggravation prevented through timely diplomatic
action under the aegis of the UN. It has, therefore, become imperative
to enable the UN system through appropriate machinery of collective
action to anticipate potential conflict situations and to initiate
suitable preventive measures.
We are passing through a decisive stage in the
history of the international system. Though the threat of war between
great states or nuclear confrontation between the erstwhile Soviet
Union and the USA are well behind us and in fact fading in our memory,
new and diverse constellation of threats, some clear and present,
others only dimly perceived, test our resolve and question the
validity of our existing mechanisms. Developments at the international
level over the last three and a half years have exposed deep divisions
within the membership of the United Nations over our fundamental
policies on peace and security. They included debates on how best to
prevent the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, and combat
the spread of international terrorism, the criteria for the use of
force and the role of the Security Council, the effectiveness of
unilateral versus multilateral responses to security, the notion of
preventive war, and the place of the United Nations in a world with a
single super power.
These debates emerge after several years of
agonising debate on issues of no less importance. Such as our
collective response to civil wars; the effectiveness of existing
mechanisms in responding to genocide; so-called ethnic cleansing and
other severe violations of human rights; changing notions of state
sovereignty; and the need to more tightly link the challenges of peace
and the challenges of development. There is little doubt that
restructuring and institutional reform of the UN machinery and its
organs to meet the new challenges should not be put off for much
longer. The changes called for are not merely a matter of the
functioning of the UN Secretariat and other such administrative
details. The changes need to focus on the world body's character and
ethos.
There is a unanimous view that meeting the
challenges of today's threats means getting serious about prevention.
The consequences of allowing threats to spread or become active are
simply too severe. And in that context there is no difference of
opinion that development has to be the first line of response for a
collective security mechanism that takes prevention seriously.
Preventing wars within states and between them is in the collective
interest of all of us. If the international community is to do better
in the future in this context, the UN will need real improvements in
its capacity for preventive diplomacy, mediation and conflict
management. The international community needs to make genuine and
concerted efforts to protect democratic governments from
unconstitutional overthrow, and for protection of minority rights. The
trends towards expediency in this regard must be reversed. And there
is a need to work collectively to find new ways of regulating the
management of natural resources, competition for which often fuels
conflict.
The use of force should only be considered after
all other options have been exhausted. And the fact that force can be
legally used does not always mean that it should be used. In this
context, the mechanism of preventive deployment would appear to be a
useful tool. Even so, there can be little argument that prevention
sometimes fails. And when that happens, threats will have to be met by
military means. The UN Charter provides a clear framework for the use
of force. States have an inherent right to self-defence, enshrined in
Article 51. Long-established customary international law makes it
clear that states can take military action as long as the threatened
attack is imminent, no other means would deflect it, and the action is
proportionate. Equally, Chapter VII of the UN Charter provides the
international community represented by the Security Council, with the
authority to deal with situations where military force needs to be
applied against an errant state that resorts to aggression against
another member state.
The aspect that merits attention is that
notwithstanding the fact that the recommendations of the High Level
Panel (HLP) on this issue have not been endorsed in the outcome
document adopted at the recent UN summit in New York, it would be
advisable for us in India to factor such a contingency into future
deliberations and planning. Personally, I am convinced that the
international community will almost definitely be faced with
situations that call for preventive use of force, sooner rather than
later. It may, therefore, be prudent for the establishment and the
strategic community in India to apply itself to the merits and
de-merits of such use of force. Should there be consensus that there
is need to plan for such contingencies, some mechanisms would need to
be formulated for consultation, coordination, joint training, and so
on with the USA, European Union (EU), Russia, Association of South
East Asian Nations (ASEAN), African union (AU), Japan, and may be even
China.
There continues to be much discussion and
deliberation on the aspect of the 'responsibility to protect' in
context of the fact that state sovereignty is still very important,
particularly to the developing countries that have emerged from
colonial rule not too long back. Notwithstanding all the developments
at the global level, the concept of state sovereignty remains at the
root of the international system. Even so, there is some consensus
that in this day and age, such sovereignty cannot be absolute. The
emerging norm of a collective responsibility to protect civilians from
large-scale violence has been endorsed: a responsibility that lies
first and foremost with national authorities. When a state fails to
protect its civilians or is incapable of doing so, the international
community would appear to have a responsibility to act, through
humanitarian operations, monitoring missions, and diplomatic pressure;
and with force if necessary as a very last resort. And in the case of
conflict or the use of force, this also implies a clear international
containment to rebuild shattered societies.
There is some disquiet in developing societies that
perceive this as yet another attempt by the more powerful members of
the developed world to impose their value systems on the weaker
states. In extreme cases even to the extent of threatening use of
force to put pressure on what are seen as uncooperative governments in
developing states, and to enable use of force to effect regime change.
Some reassurance is, therefore, necessary. And in any case, the
criteria need to be not only seen as genuine and objective, but
effected after detailed consultation and coordination.
Here again, there is need for us in India to
deliberate on whether or not we should be part of such processes. In
which case we should evolve mechanisms for consultation, coordination,
joint training and so on with like minded countries and regional
organisations. I am of the view that we should be pro-active on this
aspect as we may well be called upon to take the lead role in the
immediate and extended neighbourhood.
Deploying military capacities for peacekeeping and
enforcement has proved to be a valuable tool in ending wars and
helping to secure states in their aftermath. But the total global
supply of available peacekeepers is running dangerously low. From
indications available today, just to do an adequate job of keeping the
peace in existing conflicts would require almost doubling the number
of peacekeepers around the world. Developed states have particular
responsibilities to do more to transfuse their armies into units
suitable for deployment to peace operations. And if we are to meet the
challenges ahead, more states will have to place contingents on
stand-by for the UN purposes, and air transport and other strategic
lift capacities to assist peace operations. There is no greater
legitimacy for the use of military forces, and for that matter,
civilian police, than for the maintenance of international peace and
security. It should, therefore, be a matter of honour and privilege
for countries to provide forces for such peace missions. However, the
practical experience in this context is invariably rather dismal. The
inordinate delay in the arrival of troops in the mission area is
always a most frustrating feature of the missions that are being set
up. It is in recognition of this basic inadequacy that rapid
deployment forces like the Nordic Sherbrig, the European Union Rapid
Deployment Force, the proposed sub-regional rapid deployment
capability of the African Union, and so on have been, or are being,
considered.
One of the measures instituted by the United
Nations to overcome this inadequacy is the earmarking of "stand by"
forces by member states. This is most commendable and needs to be
pursued with vigour. As on date, this arrangement apparently provides
for about 100,000 personnel pledged by about 75 member states.
However, it is a moot point whether such "stand by" forces would, in
fact, be available immediately on demand. The Rwandan experience
indicates that political expediency and domestic compulsions will
invariably dictate the responses of member states. Therefore, while
the arrangement must stand, it would be pragmatic to work on the
assumption that forces under this arrangement can only be put together
in a certain time frame; namely about three to six months or so. And
that too, subject to political acceptance by member states. To expect
forces any earlier is unrealistic under current conditions.
There is little need to stress the point that a
military force of modest dimensions (together with police and other
civil affairs and humanitarian aid personnel) inserted into a conflict
zone as soon as some semblance of agreement between belligerents is
negotiated, can achieve much more in terms of implementation of the
terms of the agreement, than a much larger force introduced three to
six months later. During which period, the political situation within
the affected country can change dramatically, hostilities may well
have resumed, and the ground situation much changed reducing the
chances of peaceful resolution. If that is so, inhibitions about
having a suitably organised, structured and equipped force that is
readily available when required, would seem to be misplaced. In
context of ready availability of forces for United Nations peace
operations it would appear that the only real answer for meeting
crisis situations that call for speedy deployment of military forces,
civilian police, and some civil affairs and humanitarian aid personnel
for the maintenance of international peace and security, is to raise
and maintain a Standing United Nations Rapid Deployment Force.
During the deliberations of the High Level Panel, I
had suggested that we recommend the creation of such a force. Whereas
there was support from a few members of the Panel and general
endorsement of the concept in principle, a number of members felt that
such a proposal was unlikely to receive general endorsement of member
states of the UN on grounds of costs of establishing and supporting
such a force, as also on grounds of political acceptance of the idea.
I find these postulations quite unconvincing. In my view, reluctance
to endorsement of such a concept particularly by the more powerful
countries of the developed world is primarily because they would not
like to see their own influence and ability to manipulate events
diluted by the provision of such ready capability to the United
Nations. To that extent, I am of the opinion that much of the talk
about strengthening the UN and making it more effective is rhetoric
and symbolism. The point I make is probably underscored by the fact
that the developed world has shown increasing reluctance over the last
few years to providing militia personnel for the UN peace operations
particularly in difficult missions in Africa. Governments of developed
countries of the Western world seem to prefer making available their
well-equipped and trained forces to North Atlantic Treaty Organisation
(NATO) or EU sponsored interventions even in missions outside their
area of operations, to complement the UN operations rather than being
part of such operations, on grounds that they provide the required
muscle.
In context of ready availability of forces for
United Nations peace operations, it would appear that the only real
answer for meeting crisis situations that call for speedy deployment
of military forces, civilian police, and some civil affairs and
humanitarian aid personnel for the maintenance of international peace
and security, is to raise and maintain a Standing United Nations Rapid
Deployment Force based on the following parameters :-